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Train or Plane: The Honest Maths

Door to door, with the transfers, the queue and the hour you lose to security. Where the train genuinely wins, and where the rail romantics are kidding themselves.

A child looking out of a train corridor window at the passing landscape
Photo credit: Quang Nguyen Vinh

The rail argument is usually made by people who love trains, which makes it easy to dismiss. So here is the version with a stopwatch on it.

A flight advertised as ninety minutes is, door to door: forty minutes to the airport, two hours before departure, ninety in the air, thirty to get out, and forty into the city at the other end. That is five hours and twenty minutes. A train advertised as four hours is fifteen minutes to the station, ten minutes before departure, four hours, and ten minutes out. Four hours thirty-five.

A suburban railway station platform seen from a passing train

The other advantage: stations are where you already are. Photo: Adrien Olichon.

The crossover

  • Under four hours of rail time: the train wins outright, every time.
  • Four to six hours: the train usually wins on door-to-door and always wins on comfort. Price decides it.
  • Six to nine hours: genuinely close. A sleeper changes the answer; a daytime train usually does not.
  • Over nine hours: fly, unless the journey is the point. Sometimes it is.

The hour that decides this is the two hours before a flight, and no amount of fast-track changes it, because you still have to be there to use it.

Where the romantics are wrong

Long daytime trains across a continent are tiring in a way people underplay. So is a connection with twenty minutes on it and a delayed inbound. And rail fares bought late are frequently worse than flights bought late, because airlines overbook and railways do not.

A view from a train window across fields at low sun

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